Sunday, June 10, 2012

June 15th PREDICTION

Your union leaders will be unable to reach an agreement with management on the contract and will call for release from mediation and a strike.
Why am I so certain of this?
Because they have demonstrated no other desire from the outset of negotiations. From day 1, demanding the United contract as a template, with all is built in inefficiencies (even though it had LESS SCOPE PROTECTION FOR YOU), to the dismissal of management's opener, to the refusal to accept binding arbitration, and now the "End game" fiasco, which is designed to kill any agreement before it is reached, your union leaders have pushed us further down the road toward a strike. Much as I have been chastised and mischaracterised, leading me to the unfortunate position of being the union's antagonist, management has suffered the same fate. A management that would have at some point come to an agreement more acceptable to you is now positioned to dig in its heels with the objective of, along with fiscal responsibility and a sustainable vision for the future, rid itself of the factions within the pilot group that would rather see mutual failure than give any creedance to management's claims.
The junior pilots will suffer the most (as always). Your careers will be over as most of you are among the 50-ish age group and therefore unemployable in this field.
I fully expect the union to commit to the strike, and to maintain it for a substantial period, causing management to hire replacements (which will NOT be furloughed to make room for your return...read the case law).
Your solution to this dilemma is to look at the facts, the history and the behavior of the parties involved, and make your OWN educated decision. Most, unfortunately, will succumb to the comfortable herd mentality in the mistaken belief that "We can't all be wrong".
At least demand from your leaders the full, unedited minutes of the negotiations itemizing what was offered and refused so that you can see what is being demonstrated.
I do not wish any of you ill, but if, by your own free will, you walk off this property never to return, you have my sympathy but not my support.

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